Ecuadorian President Daniel Noboa is favored to win Sunday’s election as voters back his tough-on-crime policies. Elected in 2023 to complete his predecessor’s term, Noboa has deployed the military on streets and in prisons, claiming a 15% drop in violent deaths and reduced gang activity.
His 15 opponents argue that more needs to be done to curb drug-related crime, though some of their proposed solutions require legislative approval. Noboa insists his administration is already implementing border and port security measures.
At his final campaign rally in Quito, Noboa urged Ecuadorians to "reclaim your ability to dream," emphasizing his achievements. Supporters praise his swift actions, with polls suggesting he could secure an outright victory by surpassing 50% of the vote or maintaining a 10-point lead with at least 40%. Other surveys predict an April runoff against leftist Luisa Gonzalez, who Noboa defeated in 2023.
Gonzalez, a protégé of former President Rafael Correa, vows to combat crime with large-scale military and police operations while tackling judicial corruption. She also emphasizes social justice, arguing that security cannot be achieved without economic reforms. Correa claims Gonzalez is leading in polls and could win in the first round.
Both candidates have urged voters to monitor the vote count to prevent fraud. Noboa, embroiled in a dispute with his vice president, has recently announced new policies, including aid for returning migrants and tariffs on Mexican imports.
Noboa will vote in Santa Elena province, while Gonzalez will cast her ballot in Manabi. Ecuadorians will also elect 151 national assembly members.